Friday, 7 March 2014

China: Kunming Terrorist Attack



Col R Hariharan

Indians who have been facing terrorist attacks for decades will condemn the dastardly attack at Kunming railway station in the early hours on March 2 that took 29 innocent lives. Over 100 people were reported injured in the attack. The masked terrorists wielding fruit knives struck wildly at the people crowding the station. Xinhua reported that a gang of eight “appeared to be expert at hacking people” took part in the attack. 

The same agency also reported that the Kunming Public Security Bureau’s four-man SWAT team patrolling the city responding to the alert reached the station in ten minutes and in the midst of all the chaos managed to shoot and kill four of the five terrorists including a masked woman. The fifth member was wounded. It said the terrorists dressed in black when challenged stood their ground and the SWAT team leader managed to shoot a woman attacker who threw a knife at him.

China’s security forces including PLA, Special Forces, Border troops, Public Security forces, and the police have been honing their counter terrorist operational skills during the last few years. Counter terrorism has been the focus their joint training programmes with the forces of other countries including Russia, India, Sri Lanka and Thailand. The public security forces response to Kunming attack has shown their training has paid off.  Their operational readiness – to react and respond in real time - and the professional competency demonstrated in Kunming, the capital city of Yunnan Province, far away from Xinjiang which had been the focus of militant attacks is really commendable. 

The Kunming attack brings back the unpleasant memories of Mumbai police’s clumsy response and utter lack of preparedness despite prior intelligence during the 26/11 terrorist attacks carried out on 12 targets by Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiyaba (LeT) terrorists who infiltrated into the city and held it to ransom for four days from November 26, 2008. They killed in all 164 people and injured 308 others.  Two LeT terrorists who reached the Chhatrapati Sivaji Terminus (the Victoria Terminus) station opened AK-47 fire on passengers waiting there, killing 58 of them and wounding 104. The policemen on duty at the station opened fire with their obsolete rifles and managed to kill one terrorist. The efforts of the Union Home Ministry to streamline and coordinate the state’s readiness to respond to terrorist attacks that started immediately thereafter are yet to be completed!

The alleged mastermind behind the Kunming attack was identified as Abdurehim Kurban, which is probably a Uyghur name. Though the State media blamed Saturday night's attack on "Xinjiang separatist forces" they did not mention the Uighur connection to such attacks. Evidently they were following President Xi Jinping’s call for resolute opposition against any words and actions that damage the country's ethnic unity while referring to the attack.

As things happen in China’s controlled media environment, the local newspapers did not report the Kunming attack immediately on occurrence. But they preferred the safer option of leading with the news of the 12th National Peoples Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (NC-CPPCC ) at Beijing rather than the terrorist attack. They carried the news only the when micro blog messages about the attack flooded the internet.  This contrasts sharply with our free media which vied with each other to provide real time coverage of the security forces operations that benefitted the attackers more than the public!

The President taking part in a plenum discussion with the members of the NC-CPPCC said, "we will build a 'wall of bronze and iron' for the ethnic unity, social stability and the national unity.” But unfortunately this is not being reflected in the state’s heavy handed response meted out to public protests by Uyghur and Tibetan minority in Xinjiang and Tibet respectively.

Kunming has a small Uyghur community confined to Dashuying village. According to locals they had come to Kunming to make a living. Kunming also has Uyghur eateries, which serve Naan like rotis in the evening, a treat for Indian visitors.  Obviously, local Uyghurs will be facing the brunt of the fall out of the terrorist attack. So Xi Jinping’s point is well taken. President Xi is fully conscious of the threats to ethnic unity as the Uyghur and Tibetan minority communities are unhappy at the threat to their distinct identity, culture and languages as Han colonisation has been continuing relentlessly.

So the disturbed social environment within the two regions cannot be wished away when the state  considers action against the “terrorists, extremists and separatists “ (as Chinese seem to distinguish the various shades of Uyghur activists) infiltrating across the international borders.  India’s own experience has shown in the Northeast that lasting solutions for insurgency have to be found through political measures in tandem with military operations to make the militants and insurgents wither away without popular support.

Unfortunately this does not seem to be happening in Xinjiang. The Xinhua interview with the deputy commander of the Xinjiang Military Area Command Major General Saimati Muhammat an ethnic Uyghur attending the NC-CPPCC at Bejjing as a member reflects it. He is reported to have said “Counter-terrorism arrangements are in place to prevent serious incidents in Xinjiang." He added that the armed forces in Xinjiang would never ease border controls, implying all the attackers do not belong to the country.

It is obvious that there is more than ethnic or religious background to the ‘Xinjiang separatist strikes’ (as they are officially termed). Many Uyghurs including the moderate ones have a grouse against the Han colonisers who had been inducted into the Province for over six decades. They threaten not only to subsume Uyghur identity but monopolise development and employment opportunities which are tilted in favour of Han population. Some of their complaints relating to ban on keeping a beard or wearing a headscarf by women are common to Muslims of various ethnicity in China. The state has responded to these grievances in a highhanded manner.  For in instance the medium of instruction in school is Mandarin Chinese and very few books are published in Uyghur.

According to China Daily, the Xinjiang Uyghur autonomous region’s is doubling the allocation for its Public Security Bureau to Yuan 2 million ($330,420) to strengthen the counter terrorism effort as per the government's draft budget report released at the annual session of Xinjiang Regional People's Congress. But that alone is not going to improve the situation. There has to be greater understanding from the state to involve the minority population in the mainstream, rather than segregating them in ghettoes.

 Col R Hariharan a retired MI officer, is associated with the Chennai Centre for China Studies and the South Asia Analysis Group. E-mail: colhari@yahoo.com. Blog: www.colhariharan.org]

Courtesy: Chennai Centre for China Studies (C3S) Paper No.2077 dated March 6, 2014

Monday, 3 March 2014

Sri Lanka Perspectives – February 2014


Col R Hariharan

Highlights
  • UN Rights Commissioner’s report: The UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Ms Navneetham Pillay in a draft report submitted to the UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC) has recommended an "independent, international inquiry mechanism, which would contribute to establishing the truth where domestic inquiry mechanisms have failed" to investigate the allegations of war crimes and human rights excesses in Sri Lanka.
  • Skeletons from the past: Skeletal remains of nearly 80 people have been unearthed at Manthai near Mannar. The first skeletal remains were spotted by workers while digging at a construction site. The forensic excavations have continued as efforts are underway to establish the identity and period of death. The government has claimed that they probably belonged to the victims of LTTE killings or those killed during IPKF’s occupation of the area from 1987-90.
  • Norochcholai power plant’s woes: The continued failure of the $450 million Chinese aided Norochcholai power plant to generate to its slated capacity of 300 MW and frequent breakdowns have become a major source of embarrassment for China. The Chinese company responsible has refuted allegations that it was due to  corruption in securing the contract. 
UN Human Rights Commissioner’s report

In a scathing report submitted to the UNHRC, the UN Human Rights Commissioner Mrs Navneetham Pillay has recommended an "independent, international inquiry mechanism, which would contribute to establishing the truth where [Sri Lanka’s] domestic inquiry mechanisms have failed" to carry out a credible investigation into war crimes and human rights abuses by both sides during the Eelam War. Her report would be discussed at the 25th session of the UNHRC scheduled to meet in March 2014.

The Report has reinforced the US bid to push through a resolution against Sri Lanka at the UNHCR meeting. Explaining the rationale for the US move, the US Secretary of State John Kerry said“…the [Sri Lanka] government still has not answered basic demands for accountability and reconciliation, where attacks on civil society activists, journalists, and religious minorities, sadly, still continue. Our concern about this ongoing situation has led the United States to support another UN Human Rights Council resolution at the March session. We will do so because we know countries that deny human rights and human dignity challenge our interests as well as human interests.”  

Mrs Pillay’s report quoted specific instances of lack of progress in establishing accountability  for crimes including the killing of five innocent students in January 2006 in Trincomalee by suspect Special Task Force’s paramilitary personnel. The judicial process has been stalled in this case. She has also cited the failure of the government to investigate the August 2006 execution of 17 persons belonging to French INGO at Muthur.

She criticised the Sri Lanka government’s failure to implement the recommendations of the LLRC saying they they have been either rejected or ignored as they found that the army was responsible for shelling civilian areas.  Mrs Pillay also expressed her concern that legal proceedings have not begun against any LTTE cadre or leader suspected of involved in war crimes or other human rights abuses.

The report also said the government did not publish the results of any investigations into disappearances, nor did it publish information on any investigations, indictments, or convictions of anyone involved in cases related to disappearances.

Sri Lanka’s permanent representative has out rightly rejected the Human Rights Commissioner’s report and recommendations in his 18-page point-by- points rejoinder sent to the UNHCR. It said the report “gives scant or no regard to the domestic processes ongoing in Sri Lanka within the framework” of the LLRC’s action plan. As expected, President Rajapaksa has not taken kindly or to the role of the US in bringing a resolution before the UNHRC. He tried to trivialise it as of no consequence citing the examples of Cuba and Israel which had been facing such resolutions many times in the UNHCR.       

With the US leading the protagonists of international inquiry, and as India is unlikely to help out Sri Lanka, Sri Lanka will face an uphill task in preventing a vote for the US draft. At best it can hope to tinker with the wording to make it milder. However, national interest of nations plays a big part in international diplomacy which could persuade some of America’s close allies like Japan and Australia to abstain from voting. Japan has said it would like to help Sri Lanka’s domestic process rather than an international inquiry. Australia would probably factor the close cooperation extended by Sri Lanka in preventing illicit immigration from the island while deciding its vote. Much of Sri Lanka’s problem in the UHCR is its failure to hone its strategy in tune with developments in accountability of nations particularly in respect of human rights.  

Skeletons from the past

Skeletal remains of nearly 80 people have been found in forensic excavations carried out in Manthai near Mannar in Northern Province. The skeletal remains were first spotted by construction workers at Thirukatheeswaram, Mannar in December 2013. This has sparked speculations that these could be the remains of persons disposed of in mass graves by the LTTE or Sri Lanka army. The government has said that they were the remains of civilians killed when the LTTE controlled the area or when it was under the IPKF from 1987 to 90 as Sri Lanka army never occupied the area. Attributing it to the IPKF is a probably a canard as Mannar never saw high intensity operations when Indian troops were present. IPKF operations mainly focused on LTTE strongholds located in Wanni area east of A-9 Highway.

China and Norochcholai power plant’s woes

China is facing an embarrassing situation with the continued failure of 300 MW Norochcholai (Lakvijaya) coal power plant constructed by Chinese engineers with loans from Export-Import Bank of China in 2012 at a cost of $ 435 million. The plant has been dogged by breakdowns and failure to achieve optimal efficiency amidst speculation that the state-owned Chinese company had made illegal payments to secure the contract which affected the quality of the plant's performance.
Rejecting the allegations,  Li Chaoyang, Vice President of China Machinery Engineering Corporation (CMEC) in a letter to the Power and Energy Ministry Secretary, said the negotiations and signing of the agreement were done “strictly as per the official procedures.” He termed the reports of corruption as “completely baseless, severely distorted and totally irresponsible and nonsense.” Li said the report had “ruthlessly insulted all of the staff” involved who have devoted “their hearts and exerted their utmost efforts to this project for so many years, and it is just a deliberate sabotage and attempt to destructing of long-history friendship (sic) between the two countries.”
The allegation of corruption and continued poor performance of the plant are interesting as a Sunday Leader report in July 2013 quoting unnamed source had hinted at “a sinister plan in motion to hand over the entire operations of the Norochcholai coal power plant to a Chinese company”, claiming that the local engineers were incapable of handling the operations efficiently. The report said that Sri Lanka would lose the entire coal power plant to the Chinese.

In this context the opposition United National Party (UNP) said the government had recently awarded a contract to the state-owned China Communications Construction Company Limited (CCCC) for a new port city in the capital Colombo although the company was debarred by the World Bank, is interesting.  
Written on February 28, 2014
Courtesy: South Asia Security Trends, Volume 8, No.1, February 2014
URL: www.security-risks.com

(Col R Hariharan, a retired Military Intelligence specialist on South Asia, served with the Indian Peace Keeping Force in Sri Lanka as Head of Intelligence. He is associated with the Chennai Centre for China Studies and the South Asia Analysis Group. E-Mail: colhari@yahoo.com   Blog: www.colhariharan.org)  

Sri Lanka’s third showdown at UNHRC


Col R Hariharan

Sri Lanka will face the flak at the 25th session of the UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC) for the third time this week when the US fields its draft resolution on Sri Lanka’s accountability over its conduct during and after the Eelam War. US Secretary of State John Kerry spoke of his country’s keenness to do so as Sri Lanka government “still has not answered basic demands for accountability and reconciliation, where attacks on civil society activists, journalists, and religious minorities sadly, continue.” His comments came after he released the State Department’s annual human rights report for 2013.


He was echoing the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Ms Navneetham Pillay’s rationale for recommending an international inquiry into war crimes committed by both sides during Eelam War in her draft report released on February 24, 2014. [The advance edited version of her draft report submitted to the UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC) is available at www.ohchr.org/EN/HRBodies/HRC/RegularSessions/Session25/Documents/A-HRC-25-23_AEV.doc - 94k - 2014-02-24 –  ]


Mrs Pillay in her report has put forth powerful arguments to support her recommendations for an impartial international inquiry by including a complete section on “Recent human rights developments” which explains a whole range of concern at the continuing trend in Sri Lanka. These include attacks on freedom of expression, peaceful assembly and association, particularly against human rights defenders, journalists and families of victims, the rising levels of religious intolerance, and continued militarization. According to her these developments have continued to undermine the environment where accountability and reconciliation could be achieved.


The Secretary of State explaining the US stand said, “Our concern about this ongoing situation has led the United States to support another UN Human Rights Council resolution at the March session. We will do so because we know countries that deny human rights and human dignity challenge our interests as well as human interests. But we also know countries that advance those values, those countries that embrace these rights are countries that actually create opportunities.”


UN member nations are usually reluctant to vote for country specific resolutions demanding international probes into internal issues. Usually democratic nations generally have domestic mechanisms to carry out such tasks. Sri Lanka as a functional democracy with all the trappings of good governance would normally be considered as one such country. Apart from issues of real politick, this was one reason that the UNHCR’s two earlier resolutions gave opportunities to Sri Lanka to assume responsibility and implement the recommendations of the Lessons Learnt and Reconciliation Commission (LLRC) report.


But Sri Lanka due to lack of sensitivity to the international environment has failed to live up to the international community’s expectations. So the US moves to haul up Sri Lanka before the UNHRC comes as no surprise. The US in tandem with the UK had been monitoring the progress made by Sri Lanka since the UNHCR passed the last resolution. They had kept Sri Lanka informed of their continued concerns at the tardy implementation. Both the countries had also given sufficient notice to Sri Lanka of their intention to bring a resolution on Sri Lanka for the third time at the UNHCR session in March resolutions. Mrs Pillay had also spoken about her intention to seek an international inquiry more than once, particularly after her visit to Sri Lanka in August 2012.


The UNHRC has 47 member-nations elected by the UN General Assembly on a rotational three-year term representing five geographical groups – Africa-13, Asia-13, Eastern Europe-6, Latin America & the Caribbean -8, and Western European and Other states-7.


At present Asian group includes Bahrain, Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Jordan, Kuwait, Kyrgyzstan, Pakistan, Philippine, Saudi Arabia and South Korea. Most of them would probably vote against the US draft. On the other hand, most of the Western European group and the Latin American group (barring Cuba) are likely to vote for it, a few countries might abstain. So the African group's voting becomes crucial to decide the fate of the resolution. 


Among the doubtful supporters of the US resolution are Australia and Japan. According to Australian media the Tony Abbot government does not seem to be inclined to support it as Sri Lanka had been cooperating with Australia in preventing illegal human traffic from Sri Lanka coast. Japan also could abstain as it had been averse to international interference in Sri Lanka’s process; it wants to help the country to improve it. But will this hold against its strategic ally the US' pressure? Among other major powers China and Russia have declared their opposition to a resolution against Sri Lanka.


Though Sri Lanka had been lobbying vigorously with the UNHRC members against the resolution, it seems to be in a tight corner as President Rajapaksa has chosen to continue with his inflexible stand that all the issues highlighted by the various resolutions and reports at the UNHRC on Sri Lanka. And he feels other countries are conspiring to defame Sri Lanka.


President Rajapaksa has tried to put a brave face when he talked at the Foreign Correspondents Association (FCA) few days back, though he admitted it was “uncomfortable with the whole situation”. However, while addressing a public meeting he tried to trivialise it. The Geneva issue was not something to be concerned about, it was “still a headache.” He found consolation in the fact that countries like Israel and Cuba had faced so many resolutions and were “yet not shaken while Sri Lanka has faced just three resolutions.”


He has continued with his pet refrain that some countries were attempting to use resolutions to “destabilize” Sri Lanka. In spite of all this bravado, the truth is Sri Lanka's 'human rights baggage' will only grow if he delays positive action any more. This is evident from Mrs Pillay’s present and past reports.


Internally it is likely to increase ethnic friction. This would make the resumption of the process of ethnic reconciliation even more difficult. Already the Northern Provincial Council (NPC) has passed a resolution in support of the UN High Commissioner’s report and wants an international enquiry under the UN auspices. This has angered the President; his knee jerk reaction to haul up some of the  Tamil National Alliance (TNA) leaders before law for their links with the LTTE in the past will only harden the TNA, which is still politically strong whether he likes it or not. 


There is growing disaffection among Muslim minority over the government’s continued inaction against repeated attacks by Buddhist extremists on Muslim establishments. This came to the fore when the Sri Lanka Muslim Congress (SLMC), a partner of the ruling UPFA coalition, submitted a report on attacks against Muslims to Mrs Pillay during her last visit to Sri Lanka.


The President’s attitude to the SLMC action was typical.  He accused Minister Rauf Hakeem of SLMC of “betraying the country” when he heard of allegations that the SLMC had been lobbying with West Asian countries over attacks on Muslims in Sri Lanka. The Christian community has not fared any better. Rajapaksa wants such complaints to be kept “in house” to be dealt not by the government but by the majority community.

So it is not surprising that Sri Lanka government rejected Mrs Pillay’s report out rightly. It said government said the report had not given adequate attention to the domestic processes ongoing in Sri Lanka within the framework of the LLRC recommendations. It branded the report as “politicized in premise" and called the recommendations as arbitrary and intrusive. Detailed comments of Sri Lanka’s permanent mission at the UN on the draft report are available at ap.ohchr.org/documents/alldocs.aspx


India is going to have a difficult role to play when Sri Lanka is hauled up before the UNHCR all over again as its manoeuvring space appears to have reduced further. Moreover, India had set a precedent by voting for the two earlier resolutions. Though India’s stand has not been made public, India’s Minister of External Affairs Salman Khurshid is reported to have told his Sri Lanka counterpart that India would be voting for the U.S. draft, as it did earlier. So Sri Lanka’s efforts will probably play upon India’s general aversion for an international to get its help in getting the resolution toned down.


However this may not be possible as India has both diplomatic and internal issues in obliging Sri Lanka. In fact Sri Lanka's continued intransigence has made it difficult for India to support it. India may not be able to ward off American pressure also. So New Delhi is likely to go by the earlier precedence and vote for the US resolution.


This makes sense if we consider the internal compulsions of the Congress party as it faces bleak prospects at the parliamentary elections in a few weeks. The Sri Lanka war crimes issue has become a major political controversy in Tamil Nadu in the cat fight between the two major Dravidian parties.  The DMK in an opportunistic move has deserted the Congress Party - its long time partner – in the state. A vote for the US resolution could be one of the last ditch efforts to save the Congress party's face in the State.


The saving grace is that President Rajapaksa seems to understand New Delhi’s problems. Answering a pointed question during his FCA interaction on India he is reported to have said: “You must remember they [India] are facing elections and have to listen to the electorate, think about the future. Last time they voted against us, this time we don’t know yet. But we understand them.” But that does not help Sri Lanka.


What should Sri Lanka be doing to get things right? At present Sri Lanka seems to answer it by considering what it should not be doing. It has to take positive action. In an interesting interaction with a delegation of Sri Lankan journalists in New Delhi, the Indian External Affairs Minister explained the Indian perspective on various aspects connected with Sri Lanka’s approach to the ethnic reconciliation process and the war crimes allegations. According to Sri Lankan media, he listed out a few things for Sri Lanka to ponder.

  • No isolation: Sri Lanka should not isolate itself from the world and find ways to communicate its ‘compulsions and limitations’ and find a greater understanding with the world. He stressed that accountability and justice are now more pervasive in the world than before as the world is increasingly interconnected and open.

  • Show commitment first: “For India to help Sri Lanka in Geneva, Sri Lanka should address local concerns so that India would be able to lobby on behalf of Sri Lanka. For us to help, you should be doing things that we would be able to tell the world.”

  • Ego: He advised that ego should not be allowed to get in the way: He advocated a much saner approach “in contrast to the local proclivity to slander the visiting UN and US officials.

  • Sensitivity: Sri Lanka should not be too sensitive and the world should not be over-reactive.   He referred to the government orchestrated demonstrations against the US and the UN in Colombo when the resolution was brought before the UNHRC earlier. Rights activists and journalists were subjected to character assassination.   

It is an irony that Sri Lanka, which proclaims it has liberated the people from three decades of LTTE tyranny after the humanitarian war, is now facing the flak at the UN forum on allegations of war crimes and continuing human rights violations. President Rajapaksa has to seriously introspect on the shortcomings of his present approach. Though he may be averse to listen to ‘the Big Brother’ India’s counsel (as given by its foreign minister) it could help to take Sri Lanka back from the brink. But will he? If we go by Sri Lanka’s attitude to things ‘foreign’ I find it difficult to answer with 'aye.' 
 

Courtesy: South Asia Analysis Group Sri Lanka Update No 241 at Note No. 710 March 30, 2014  
URL: http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/node/1467