Maithripala
Sirisena's agenda in New Delhi could include winning back India's confidence by
correcting Mahinda Rajapaksa's "China tilt".
COL R HARIHARAN | POLITICS | 3-minute read | @colhari2
Sri Lanka's newly elected President Maithripala
Sirisena is visiting New Delhi on February 16, his first port of call after
becoming President.
Narendra Modi's spectacular rise as a national
leader from the sidelines of Gujarat state, hopping over seniors in the party
hierarchy, to lead the nation is a real life example for many ambitious
politicians to emulate.
Did Modi provide a role model for the newly elected
Sri Lanka President Maithripala Sirisena's success?
It would seem so if we see Sirisena's surprise
victory against the two-term President of Sri Lanka and his long term party
colleague Mahinda Rajapaksa, in the recently concluded presidential election.
Four months ago nobody would have imagined
Sirisena, a senior minister who was seen only in the shadow of Rajapaksa,
would reduce the President's bid for a third term to an unfulfilled
dream. Skepticism about Modi was initially just as bad; even many of the BJP
stalwarts weren't sure of Modi delivering 272 seats in parliament he promised.
Even if Modi was not a role model, his success
probably gave Sirisena the courage to contest against Rajapaksa, the most
powerful president Sri Lanka had produced after the first president JR
Jayawardane.
Both took their first steps in politics with strong
ideological convictions. At a young age RSS attracted Modi while young Sirisena
was attracted to communism for a short while before he changed his mind and
joined the left-of-centre Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP). Modi migrated from
RSS to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). After that both never changed their
party affiliations. While Modi became the general secretary of the BJP,
Sirisena remained the general secretary of the SLFP for over a decade.
Both went to the poll with a clear agenda and
deadlines to implement their agenda. Modi set six months for his basic agenda
while Sirisena is implementing the opposition's 100-day action plan. Both are
trying to clean up governance, bring to book the corrupt and restructure the
way the government rules.
Maithripala has chosen New Delhi as his first
foreign destination after coming to power. That underlines his strong
expectation of support from India. But he will have to satisfy Modi that though
he had been a close aide of Rajapaksa's policies including the former
president's unfulfilled promises to India on implementing the 13th amendment to
the Constitution and resuming the political reconciliation process with Tamil
leaders.
Sirisena's agenda in New Delhi could include a
few items. First is to win back India's confidence by correcting Rajapaksa's
"China tilt" that had soured India. He is making visible moves to
achieve balance in Sri Lanka' relations with the two Asian nations.
Secondly, he would try to muster India's support in
the UN Human Rights Commission which is meeting next month. Sri Lanka fears it
could be embarrassed by the discussion there on Rajapaksa's refusal to
implement UNHRC resolution on Sri Lanka's alleged war crimes and human rights
excesses. India's influence can be useful in buying time for Sirisena to work
out a face saving solution. Of course, he will have to convince India he is
sincerely trying to address as Modi is likely to raise this issue.
Thirdly, India has influence over Tamil National
Alliance, which can swing Tamil votes in Sirisena's favour in the general
elections in April 2015. India can also help resuscitate Sri Lankan economy and
bring in more investment. That would give strength to Sirisena in dealing with
China.
So whether Modi is role model or not, common
political perspectives on governance and structural changes in governance
between the two leaders can help Sirisena in having a fruitful meeting with
Modi. This is important as he is going to China next month.