Saturday, 3 September 2016

Sri Lanka Perspectives: August 2016

Sri Lanka Perspectives: August 2016


 Col R Hariharan


President Sirisena cracks the whip

President Maithripala Sirisena appointed 40 new electoral and district organizers of Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP) after sacking 13 SLFP dissidents from the post of electoral organizers in ten districts. Last month, the President had warned the dissidents, who are loyalists of former president Mahinda Rajapaksa, that they would lose their posts unless they support party activities. 

After the sacking of dissidents from the party post, Mahinda Rajapaksa appointed a committee to deliberate  upon follow up action.  The dissidents have decided to form a new political party consisting of Rajapaksa loyalists of the SLFP who form the backbone of Rajapaksa’s United Peoples Freedom Alliance (UPFA) front and the Joint Opposition group in parliament.  The name of the party is yet to be decided.

However, the leftist allies of the UPFA- the Lanka Sama Samaja Party (LSSP), the Communist Party, the Democratic Left Front – are said to be lukewarm to the idea of forming a new party. They feel it would only strengthen Sirisena’s hold on the SLFP as he would have a free run.

Apparently, the President wanted to demonstrate his control over the party before the 65th  SLFP national convention to be held on September 4. The dissidents after  taking part in a five-day rally organised by Rajapaksa loyalists in end of July 2016 had been increasingly opposing the actions taken by Sirisena government. In the meanwhile, the dissident group would like to stage a showdown by persuading party members to boycott the SLFP national convention.  Even after the SLFP dissidents form a new party, the Sirisena-Rajapaksa political tug of war is likely to continue.

Politics of the “missing and disappeared”

Sri Lanka parliament passed the Office of Missing Persons (OMP) on August 23. The OMP enactment is first reconciliation mechanism to be implemented by the government in compliance the 2015 UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC) resolution.  It is apt that it came into being before “International Day of Enforced Disappearances” on August 30. The OMP provides a structural mechanism to handle enforced disappearances inflicted upon both Tamil and Sinhala population during Sri Lanka’s civil wars – during the JVP armed revolt in 1971 and 1987-89 and in the operations against the LTTE particularly in the Eelam war that ended in May 2009. 

In fact, the government announcement earlier this year that it would issue a certificate of absence to the relatives of over 65000 persons missing during the operations against the JVP and the LTTE, to enable them to benefit from government welfare schemes gives an idea of the problem faced by the government.

The OMP has been welcomed by civil society organizations and both the JVP and the Tamil National Alliance (TNA) parties  as it brings fresh hopes to thousands of families whose loved ones have been missing for years. The government has clarified the OMP was a truth seeking agency that does not make judgements on disputes. According to the act, the functions of the OMP are searching and tracing of missing persons, clarifying the circumstances in which such persons went missing and their fate, making recommendations to reduce such incidents of missing persons, and identifying  avenues for redress. As per the act, its findings would not give rise to any criminal or civil liability.  

However, the Joint Opposition has described the provisions of the OMP as draconian. Prof GL Peiris, former minister in Rajapaksa government, in a strong indictment of the OMP described it as “a fully fledged quasi-judicial mechanism with extensive coercive powers to compel giving of testimony and the production of documents and other material including sensitive military installations.” He said the OMP was envisaged to function entirely outside the country’s institutional framework as it denies the right to available information, not only to the public, but also to the courts of law.

The OMP is yet another example of the Sirisena-Wickremesinghe government’s efforts to improve the structural mechanism of governance that were degraded in the earlier years. This had resulted in human rights aberrations, absence of rule of law, lack of accountability and poor governance. This had tarnished Sri Lanka’s international reputation particularly after the Eelam war.

The President is also constituting the Secretariat Coordinating the Reconciliation Mechanism (SCRM) to coordinate the work of all reconciliation mechanisms. The SCRM is slated to function for two years, indicating the government expectations to complete the process for smooth operation of its reconciliation efforts.  However, as the Daily Mirror, Colombo, considered the move of SLFP’s Rajapaksa loyalists (including 50 MPs) to form as a “serious negative feature…. amid the positive moves for reconciliation, deeper interracial and inter-religious unity in diversity.” The dissidents’ competitive politics pampering the Sinhala nationalist agenda can result in ethnic provocation that could slow down the process.

India-Sri Lanka relations

India always makes good copy in Sri Lankan media. So it was not surprising to see one columnist linking President Sirisena’s private visit to worship at Tirupathi temple in India to the fears of an impending split in the SLFP after the Rajapaksa-led Matara rally last month. Notwithstanding such reports, the Sirisena government has continued to do some tightrope walking to balance the country’s relations with India and China.  After signing a renewed agreement with China to go ahead with the stalled Colombo Port City Project, the government seems to be moving towards finalizing the Economic and Technical Cooperation Agreement (ETCA) with India.

A four-member delegation led by joint secretary of the Indian ministry of commerce visited Colombo to hold preliminary talks for the first time on the ETCA. The visit was in keeping with the decision taken to speed up the negotiating process when Sri Lanka’s minister of development strategies and international trade Malik Samarawickrama visited New Delhi in July 2016 and met with Indian minister of commerce and industry Mrs Nirmala Sitharaman.

During their talks with the Sri Lankan counterparts both sides were expected to understand each other’s needs and concerns based on their experience in implementing the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) during the last decade and a half while exploring the broad contours of the ETCA. Sri Lanka hopes use the ETCA to benefit from Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s “Make in India” initiative giving a boost to the manufacturing sector by joining the Indian supply chain.

Sri Lanka ministry of strategic development and international trade in a statement said the ETCA would enable Indian manufacturers to set up factories in Sri Lanka to export their products to Pakistan and China with which Sri Lanka had or was planning to have FTA. On the other hand, India is looking at ETCA as a mechanism to participate in the post-war economic development in Sri Lanka.

Even though India has reassured that the objective of the ETCA was not to open up Sri Lanka to Indian service personnel, Sri Lankan professionals suspect the country would be flooded with Indian professionals if ETCA is signed. However, Prime Minister Modi has assured that Indian economic cooperation would be based upon Sri Lanka’s needs.  Sri Lanka government will have to allay the fears of professionals as the ETCA issue has already become a part of the country’s contentious politics. 
Written on August 31, 2016

 [Col R Hariharan, a retired MI officer, served as the head of intelligence of the Indian Peace Keeping Force from 1987 to 90. E-mail: haridirect@gmail.com   Blog: http://col.hariharan.info 

Courtesy: South Asia Security Trends, September 2016 issue   www.security-risks.com