Saturday, 25 May 2019

What makes Modi tick?

May 25, 2019 |Courtesy: Rediff.com |  

The answer has two components: As a leader with a vision who can carry the masses and his ability to realise his vision through his decision-making and executive skills, says Colonel R Hariharan.

Prime Minister Narendra Damodardas Modi led from the front to win an unprecedented second term in the 2019 general election.

He has shown he is a hands-on leader, who does not hesitate to publicise his successes, rather than wasting time on explaining his failures.

The 2019 election results clearly show that for the Opposition parties Modi continues to remain 'a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma' to borrow a quote from Winston Churchill.

If the Opposition leaders want to survive the Modi headwind, they have to find answer to the question, what makes Modi tick?

This is perhaps the reason for their failure to evolve a proactive and coherent strategy to take on the Modi phenomenon.

The Opposition's reactive strategy focused on Modi's actions, which are his strength, than gut issues.

In terms of brand-building strategy, the Opposition went all wrong. By painting him as an ogre the Opposition ended up reinforcing Modi's image as an invincible leader.

Repeated slanging of Modi with meaningless slogans like 'Chowkidar chor hai', only showed the Opposition's paucity of strategic ideas to take on the BJP leader on his vulnerabilities.

Understanding Modi is difficult because some of his actions defy logic and conventional wisdom. But that is exactly what Modi did, when he sprang a surprise on the nation of 1.3 billion people in a televised speech. He told them their high value currencies would become useless unless they account for it through a bank.

What made him take this critical decision without going through the conventional process of decision making?

Only a leader with goal clarity, self-confidence, courage of conviction and trust in his team, takes a risky decision despite knowing it might damage his reputation as an effective leader. Such leaders are known for their out of the box solutions.

Was Modi's action driven by courage or foolhardiness? The jury may be still out on demonetisation, but for most of the voters it did not matter because they trusted him. The debate is likely to go on forever because out of the box decisions often defy conventional reasoning.

That is why politicians are generally reluctant to think out of the box. They prefer more pedestrian tried and trusted methods. Apparently, Modi's strength is he is not a conventional politician.

From a managerial perspective, Modi's leadership style can be analysed using a wide variety of tools used by management pundits. But political leadership does not lend itself to easy classification of styles expounded in management tomes.

Successful politicians are situational leaders, assuming different styles to suit the dynamics of an operational environment. How they manage it often defines their political longevity and public popularity.

In Modi's case, it was a combination of leadership charisma and exceptional decision-making and executive skills that enabled him to repackage and expand upon many of the well-conceived, but ill-managed, social welfare schemes of earlier governments.

What makes Modi tick? The answer has two components: As a leader with a vision who can carry the masses and his ability to realise his vision through his decision-making and executive skills. That makes him not only a PM, but a chief executive as well.

This is the reason Modi's style of closely monitoring of actions makes some of the bureaucrats uncomfortable as they are accustomed to the traditional 'file crawl'.

Modi's rise from the backwoods of Gujarat to the hallowed power centres of Lutyens New Delhi is not dissimilar to that of Benjamin Disraeli.

Disraeli, born in a Sephardic Jewish family of Italian mercantile background, rose to become prime minister of Great Britain twice in the 19th century. He was instrumental in taking many momentous decisions to take advantage of the decay of the Ottoman empire and the purchase of a major interest in the Suez Canal company.

Modi's rise seems to be based upon Disraeli's three pillars of learning: Seeing much, suffering much and studying much.

The prime minister's conduct as a national leader also reflects Disraeli's pithy observation: 'The secret of success is to be ready when your opportunity comes.'

Modi also exemplifies some of Disraeli's other leadership dictums. These include 'Courage is fire, and bullying is smoke' and 'Never complain and never explain.'

Modi is undoubtedly a charismatic leader, who can hold the audience spellbound with his simple but effective public speaking skills.
How much does charisma help Modi as a leader?

The well-known management guru Peter Drucker in a Harvard Business Review article in 2004 explained that effective executive does not need to be a charismatic leader. So the PM to be effective needs more than charisma.
Drucker, from his rich experience in 65 years of consulting, says some of the most effective chief executives varied in their personalities, attitudes, values, strengths, and weaknesses. They ranged from 'extroverted to nearly reclusive, from easy going to controlling, from generous to parsimonious'.

The management guru identified eight practices that made them effective. They asked two questions: What needs to be done. and what is right for the enterprise. These gave them the knowledge they needed.

They developed action plans and took responsibility for decisions and communicating the decisions to translate the knowledge into action. They ensured accountability and responsibility by focusing on opportunities rather than problems and emphasising 'we' rather than 'I'.

In the run-up to the 2014 election, it was Modi's charisma that attracted thousands of ordinary people who paid to hear his talks delivered with exceptional public speaking skills. They needed a narrative of action to add value to their lives.

But in the 2019 general election, even the adulatory public appear to have judged Modi on his performance rather than his oratorical skills. So the

massive popular vote is probably a validation of Modi not only as a leader plus doer.



The writer, a retired military intelligence analyst, served as the Executive Director of the Madras Management Association. He has been corporate trainer for more than a decade. E-mail: haridirect@gmail.com Website: https://col.hariharan.info

Monday, 6 May 2019

Sri Lanka Perspectives: April 2019


 Col R Hariharan | 30-4-2019 | Courtesy: South Asia Security Trends, May 2019 | www.security-risks.com |


Abu Bakr Al-Baghdadi, the elusive chief of the Islamic State (IS) in a rare  released after five years on April 28, has claimed that the IS was responsible for carrying out Easter Sunday serial suicide blasts in Sri Lanka that left253 people dead and  over 500 injured. The video said that the attacks was in retaliation for the loss of Baguz, the IS’ last stronghold in Syria. It said it was a “small part of the response prepared by the Islamic State.”

Nine members of a small local radical Islamic outfit - National Towheed Jamaath (NTJ) led by Zahran Hashim - carried out the attacks targeted   three churches and three luxury hotels frequented by foreign tourists. Later, the IS released a video of seven men including Hashim, thought to be the bombers, pledging allegiance to the IS. Only Hashim showed his face.

Sri Lanka government was in total disarray after the Deputy Inspector General(DIG) Priyalal Dassanayaka confirmed that he had sent a letter ten days ago (April 11) information of the NTJ’s planned attacks received from foreign intelligence agency to the Ministry of Defence and the police. The letter based upon information received from a foreign agency warned that Zahran Hashim and a few others were planning suicide attacks or knife attacks targeting churches and the Indian high commission.

President Maithripala Sirisena, who was on a private visit to Singapore when the blasts took place, returned on hearing the news. However, he denied knowledge of the intelligence reports. He accused the defence secretary Hemasiri Fernando and IGP Jayasundara of failing to brief him about the threat.

But President Sirisena’s credibility has come under a cloud on the issue. Colombo web Daily FT quoted “multiple sources with close knowledge of the inner workings” of the Defence establishment saying that the State Intelligence Service (SIS) Director Senior DIG of Police Nilantha Jayawardana had provided detailed reports on the planned attack to the President on at least three occasions, including one on April 11. 

The Ministry of Defence had relayed the latest report from India on the evening of April 20 that the attack was imminent. When the last minute reports came the SIS had transmitted the warning to the IGP, who “failed to alert churches about the threats” according to the report.

Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe tried to evade his responsibility by saying that he was unaware of the warnings as he was out of the loop. He told the BBC “if we had any inkling, and we had not taken action, I would have handed in my resignation.” However, he did not explain what effort he made when the President excluded him from attending the National Security Council (NSC) meetings held to discuss national security. 

President Sirisena in a damage control mode sacked the defence secretary Fernando and appointed General SHS Kottegoda in his place. The President chaired a meeting of the NSC and declared a state of emergency after two days. The government banned the NTJ and Jamathe-i-Milathu Ibrahim Seilani (JMI) – a little known organization - under the emergency regulations. Many Muslim leaders have said they had earlier warned the government about the NTJ’s nefarious activities many times to the authorities including the police.

In the follow up operations security forces were able to round up over 150 suspected NTJ members and sympathisers. In Ampara district, NTJ leader Hashim’s two brothers and their 12 member family had moved in a village near Kalmunai in eastern province. Local Muslim villagers confronted them when they saw a weapon and one of the terrorists exploded a device killing all the family members, barring Hashim’s wife and daughter who were injured. Police have also recovered a cache of weapons and explosives.

For better coordination, army, navy, air force and police within the Western province and Puttalam district have been placed under command of the Overall Operational Command, Colombo, for operational purposes.

It is a tribute to Sri Lanka people that all religious leaders, particularly Cardinal Malcom Ranjith, have counseled peace and prevented a religious backlash after the attacks.  The All Ceylon Jamiyyathul Ulama (ACJU), the apex religious body of Islamic theologians providing community leadership, has appealed to the members of the community to maintain peace and cooperate with security forces in their work. It also appealed to women members not to cover their face by wearing a niqab to facilitate easy identification.  Officially face covering by women has been banned.

However, in the coming months former president Mahinda Rajapaksa and his brother and presidential aspirant Gotabaya Rajapaksa are likely to take advantage of the serious security failure of  President Sirisena and PM Wickremesinghe in handling the IS threat. With the presidential poll scheduled for the year end, political turbulence is likely to increase between the President and the PM.  

There is a growing demand for taking action against Muslim politicians who had alleged connections with the NTJ. Tamil National Alliance (TNA) parliamentarian MA Sumanthiran has demanded that Eastern Province Governor MLAM Hizbulla must be investigated for connections with NTJ. Similarly, SLFP General Secretary Dayasiri Jayasekara has alleged that Muslim Religious Affairs Minister M.H.A. Haleem had issued permits to set up 40 National Tawheed Jamaat (NTJ) dens in the Kandy District and 400 others countrywide since 2015.  How the government proposes to handle the sensitive issue of minority Muslims in the coming months is the moot point.

There are indications that there might be more attacks by IS in Sri Lanka. The State Intelligence Service has received information on an attack targeting the Buddhist temples by the NTJ using female bombers. According to a Reuters report, the US Ambassador to Sri Lanka Alaina Teplitz said the US believed members of the militant group blamed for Easter Sunday attacks may be at large and planning more assaults. “We do believe that the terrorist threat is ongoing and there may be active plotters. Active members of the attack group that carried out the terror attacks on Easter Sunday may still be at large,” Ambassador Teplitz said.“We certainly have reason to believe that the active attack group has not been fully rendered inactive. We do believe that there is active planning underway,” she said.

Unless the government cleans up its security coordination preparedness fast, Sri Lanka can be plunged into a period of instability.

Col R Hariharan, a retired MI officer, served as the head of Intelligence of the Indian Peace Keeping Force in Sri Lanka from 1987 to 90. He is associated with the Chennai Centre for China Studies, South Asia Analysis Group and the International Law and Strategic Analysis Institute, Chennai. E-mail: haridirect@gmail.com  Blog: http://col.hariharan.info