Friday, 31 July 2009

Sri Lanka: Coming to a Full Circle

The government of Sri Lanka under President Mahinda Rajapaksa said it was going to war against the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) with the battle cry of freedom. It spoke of a vision of a Sri Lanka where peoples lives would not be determined by the language they spoke. However, after the war is over, with a great deal of sacrifice of men and material resources, the emerging socio-political environment does not indicate the vision coming true; it may well remain what it was – just a vision.

By now it is clear that the word ‘devolution’ has joined the rank of words to be wished away - like ‘federalism’ - into political obsolescence. And the word ‘minority’ also might join the list soon. That seems to be the new emerging order that is seen across the board not only with the ruling coalition but also among the major political parties. This was best illustrated by the United National Party (UNP) presided over by Ranil Wickremesinghe. As Prime Minister he agreed to federalism as fundamental to the peace process in 2002 but now he and his party had no hesitation in jettisoning it at the altar of political expediency. And the Sri Lanka Freedom Party (SLFP) is no better.

This comes as no surprise to Sri Lanka watchers as political parties, like many of their leaders, have done similar acts of political somersault more than once.(I should confess our own Indian political parties and leaders are no better. The latest in this genre was the Tamil Nadu political leader Ms Jayalalithaa’s sudden volte face on the question of Tamil Eelam on the eve of recent parliamentary poll. ) Apparently, it has become part of the political culture although it is extremely doubtful whether the common man is taken by such double whammy on the eve of elections. But in Sri Lanka in the past, the political double speak was the main reason why Tamil people lost faith in the political process. Ultimately Tamil youth took up arms to fight for their beliefs, right or wrong, because they saw only failed political process.

President Mahinda Rajapaksa appears to be in no hurry to implement the 13th amendment of the constitution in full, despite repeated promises to do so after the eastern province election. There might be sound internal political reasons for this; the President appears to be getting ready to advance the date of Presidential election to early next year as indicated in his recent interview to cash in on his popularity to get elected as president for a second term. And probably he would like to retain his Southern Sri Lanka votes in tact.

But does the President require a popular mandate to implement what is authorised in the constitution? In case a peoples’ mandate was necessary for the President’s course of action, parliamentary poll would be the true barometer. That would help his party gain a majority in parliament without the President sacrificing part of his present term. Of course, a strong presidential mandate first would ensure the SLFP sweeping the parliamentary polls. Thus it would enable the President to do away with the dependence upon other smaller parties. It might also reduce the influence detractors of his policy who have migrated from various political parties to the SLFP bandwagon as well as the opposition - the leftist Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP) and the right wing Jathika Hela Urumaya (JHU).

With nearly twenty percent of Tamil population living as displaced persons behind barbed wire in welfare camps, elections would be democratic if they are free. Would they be free before the presidential poll? That is a question the government has to answer because there are contradictory signals coming from different limbs of government. And there is also the traditional gap between intent and action of the government.

The President has with equal alacrity turned the all party committee for devolution, which he constituted on assuming office in 2006 with a lot of fanfare, into one more committee of irrelevance if not non-action, as recently confessed by its chairman Tissa Vitarana. His report submitted is said to cover a wide range of subjects that ail Sri Lanka from the executive presidency to revision of constitution to the rights and powers of people living away from Colombo. This well meaning effort is in the danger of consigned to the archives of history to company with President Chandrika Kumaratunga’s attempts at constitutional amendment that had almost everyone’s consensus.

Curiously, India which had initially been speaking of devolution later to downgraded its desire to implementation of the 13th amendment. And when even that is in doubt India has become strangely muted, except that it came up as a point in the sidelines of the conference of non-aligned nations attended by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and President Rajapaksa.

But all these are exercises in politics and not of the promised pathway to ethnic reconciliation. It is not good intentions that is lacking in Sri Lanka but their implementation. President Rajapaksa has sought to wish away the term minority as applied to non Sinhalese citizens of the country. This is an admirable sentiment but it does not appear realistic in the absence of political, structural, constitutional and social actions needed to make it a reality. Unless the vision of a minority free Sri Lanka is fleshed out with appropriate missions to turn into a reality, it would remain a distant vision only. And sadly, this is what it is turning out to be, it appears.

The ethnic divide has established deep roots of distrust between the two communities that are yet to bee uprooted. So when the state once again sidelines the basic issue of Tamil quest for equitable treatment there cannot be but a feeling of déjã vu among the people on this issue. These are partly reinforced by the continued presence of nearly 300,000 Tamil IDPs still in ‘welfare camps’ with no hope of returning back to their war ravaged villages “within six months” as promised earlier.

Their doubts on the new dispensation increase further when Dayan Jayatilake, who turned in a stellar performance at the UN to save the face of Sri Lanka, was sacked overnight. Of course, he was ‘guilty’ of trying to sell the state’s own merchandise – the implementation of 13th amendment (plus?). Such actions only turn the feeling of discomfort of those who question government policy decisions into to insecurity. A nation needs conscience keepers to question and introspect. And a free media is the vehicle of conscience keepers; and they are ill served if the Damocles sword of Press Council keeps the media in tenterhooks.

After decades of agonising conflict Sri Lanka needs an ambience free of fear and suspicion, where all people will have a fair share of power in decision making. And that unfortunately is not happening.

The process of polarisation of Sinhala and Tamil communities had been going on for over half a century. It had been clouding the emergence of a united Sri Lankan identity after it became bread and butter of Sinhala and Tamil politics in Sri Lanka. It has resulted in Sri Lanka going through a full circle from politics to extremism to militancy to insurgency to terrorism to war to politics now. Should Sri Lanka go through this agonising cycle all over once again? This is a question the people and rulers of Sri Lanka cannot afford to ignore.
www.southasiaanalysis.org

5 comments:

Winnowed said...

How sad! How true!

CLips said...

The Indian Betrayal! ………….is it too late for her!

As the Communist ideology has been flourishing in Kerala for many years, the Chinese interest in that State is undoubtedly obvious.Under the Chinese Intelligence, the Keralites were subtly advised to take up Hindi and English more seriously in its Education system.

These had been the base level strategy to infiltrate as many government services in order to have a firm intelligence gathering and tacit decision making in favor of Communist China since Krishna Menon (time of Nehru) until Shiv Shanker Menon.

The Chinese connection has been tilting the favors towards China against India in the geopolitical sense. One can say this by assessing the damage in dealing with Sri Lanka, Nepal, Pakistan, Katcha Theevu and Arunachal Pradesh.

History will speak for itself the involvement of Keralites on all the said issues in shaping the Indian foreign policies which had inclination towards Chinese long term needs. They have set India at receiving end from all their neighbors. India was set to realize a bit too late of the domino effect!

Obviously India is facing the final phase of this domino effect!
The Four classic examples are:-
1] India’s’ currency being printed in Nepal, China and Pakistan
2] The growing feeling of alienation that the people of Arunachal Pradesh feel towards
India so much so that they asked in Delhi if they are from China.
3] The tacit support of both the Keralites, Shiv Shanker Menon and MK Narayanan for
Chinese to make strong Inroads into Sri Lanka in the pretext of “War against
Terrorism”.
4] A Chinese consortium had won the initial contract to develop Vizhinjam Kerala in
2006. The bid was eventually denied security clearance by the Indian authorities.
Even to win the initial contract by Chinese speaks volume of underground
China-Kerala Connection.

India’s fundamental flaw for not placing an effective monitoring machinery to avoid one particular race/state/caste domination in the national essential services and Intelligence bodies had worked against India’s security from within.
Apparently the Chinese had noticed and exploited this gap from the time of India’s independence (Krishna Menon).

The current appointment of Ms Nirupama Rao from Kerala in replacement of Shiv Shanker Menon is another continuity of the weakness in Indian internal machinery in safeguarding India’s regional security policies.

Will India ever wake up to notice the enemy within………………..or is it too late!

Vishnu said...

CLips, your bull shit is intended for nothing but division . Your ire towards Indian emissaries can be understood as they did not help LTTE from being extincted. But they were acting on behalf of Sonia Gandhi - who is not a fool.

You may understand that the stuff you wrote can do little to achieve what you aim. LTTE tried this kind of propaganda and miserably failed.

I am really surprised how Col Hariharan cleared your propaganda shit for publishing here.

R. Hariharan said...

Ref comments of CLips and Vishnu.

As long as the language used is polite I don't mind people airing their views.

As far as CLips comments are concerned, he is not the first one whose world view is conditioned by their parochial and irrelevant issues that cloud their policy prescriptions. Many politicians are in the same league.They keep blaming others and ask others to do what they would not do or do not want to do.

The first thing all those who want to do good to the Tamils of Sri Lanka is to understand the current situation. There is no point in blaming Keralites, Indians, RAW, the US, China and everyone else.

The stark truth is Prabhakaran and LTTE have failed after shedding the blood of thousands of young Tamils in nearly 30 years of war. His methods based on hatred, violence and terrorism have failed because the global perception of terrorism has changed drastically. That is the bottom line.

Unless Eelam Tamils introspect and work out a political methodology and a fresh approach no one else will help out. This is not 1983. The world including India, China and for that matter Sri Lanka have changed. So old methods that failed are just what they were; they will not succeed either in Sri Lanka or in India. And the world powers have got enough on their plates and may ignore Sri Lanka altogether. i

Vishnu said...

Col Hariharan Sir,

I am little pained to see comments from some Indian citizens blaming whole India and later the neighboring state for the fall of a fascist organization like LTTE.

First of all, it is the Tamil Nadu which wished well being of fellow beings and did the best it can do. The contributions of MGR as Tamil leader for the growth of Prabhakaran should not be underestimated.

Later when Prabhakaran grown beyond total Tamil ethnic size and the world was not enough for him, the state Tamil Nadu with a population of 66 million was under him according to his confidence.

How could Tamil Nadu which is subservient to him ( as he believes) save him from the predicament invented by himself?

The reason for his violent end was the growth out of proportion, eliminating his own Tamil brothers & sisters. ( Rajani Thiranagama - I condole your death)

Now the failure to put Tamil nadu on fire has failed and the fire ball is thrown to the neighboring state.

Nothing else to say.