Courtesy: Rediff.com/News/October 18,
2019
'Only when China treats India as
an equal can we consider them real friends.'
Was the second informal
meeting between Prime Minister Narendra Damodardas Modi and Chinese President
Xi Jinping successful?
"The
'unequalness' in the India-China relationship is partly due to our conduct. We
are not vision-driven like China," Colonel R Hariharan, an associate
with the Chennai Centre for China Studies, tells Rediff.com's Shobha Warrier.
What impact will the informal meeting have on the India-China
relationship?
If
I were to rate the meeting, I will give it 3/5. The meeting was cordial. Both
leaders met in a friendly atmosphere and discussed long term strategic issues
of global and regional importance.
The
informal meet was able to repair the slightly fractured relationship after
China's conduct at the UN security council in support of Pakistan after India
abolished Article 370.
After Imran Khan met Xi in China
on October 9, Xi said China would continue to firmly support Pakistan
on issues concerning its core interests and of major concern to it.
Normally,
China uses the words 'core interests' when it refers to territory. For example,
China uses 'core interests' in case of reference to Taiwan, Tibet and Hong
Kong.
This
is the first time Xi has used the term 'core interests' in relation to Pakistan.
China
has made contrarian statements on the Kashmir issue, not only now but in the
past also. It has said it should be settled bilaterally as also settling
through the UN etc.
But this time, before the informal
summit, India took pains to explain to China that abolishing of Article 370 was
an internal matter, related to amending the Constitution.
After
this explanation, China went to the UN security council to help Pakistan out,
though no resolution on Kashmir was brought as it could not muster adequate
support.
That
itself showed China was favouring Pakistan on Kashmir. After that the Chinese
ambassador in Pakistan made a very serious statement in support of Pakistan.
Xi's
use of the term 'core interest' shows China has taken a position to support Pakistan.
India,
unhappy with the development, had sent another strong signal by participating
in the ministerial level meeting of the US, Australia, Japan and India to
formalise the Quadrilateral alliance, which had been a loose network to
formulate collective strategies in the Indo-Pacific.
These
developments sent negative vibes before the meeting, just like what happened
after the Doklam standoff before the Wuhan meeting. The external affairs
ministry in a statement said Kashmir was an internal matter and India would not
like any external interference.
So Xi probably thought Modi might
bring it up Kashmir issue at the informal summit.
Do you feel Modi deciding not to raise the Kashmir issue is to
India's credit?
Modi
did the right thing by not raising the Kashmir issue after maintaining it was
an internal issue. And the comfort level for Xi increased when Modi did not
raise the issue.
India
had also kept quiet about Hong Kong.
So,
you can say India while being firm, took a number of measures to improve the
comfort level between the two leaders.
China
noticed the signals. The mood of the leaders at the meeting was quite good,
enabling them to cordially discuss larger issues.
It seems trade and trade deficit dominated the summit. Does that
mean Modi and Xi considered trade as the most important issue to discuss?
I will view it slightly
differently. The same subject came up at Wuhan also. After the Wuhan meeting
China agreed to India's export of sugar and non-Basmati rice.
In
the current year, our exports to China have slightly gone up though still (it is) low. Imports have also
come down.
Perhaps
encouraged by this, the two sides discussed trade issues and agreed to setting
up a high level mechanism headed by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman and
Chinese Vice Premier Hu Chunhua to look in detail at trade, investment and
services. So, there is hope that there would be positive gains.
Against the background of the US-China trade war, would China be
looking at India as a huge market? Would India also want to have a share in the
huge Chinese market?
Exactly.
The problem is China restricts imports from India. For example, in the
pharmaceutical industry, though India imports organic chemicals for manufacture
of drugs from China, China does not allow the import of Indian drugs.
China
wants India to join the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership free trade
agreement between the 10 member States of the Association of Southeast Asian
Nations and its six FTA partners (China,
Japan, India, South Korea, New Zealand and Australia).
India
has been negotiating hard on the terms as it could result in Chinese imports
going up. This issue also came up at the summit.
There
was a lot of emphasis on trade. There was an effort on India's part to create a
congenial atmosphere to take these issues forward. Issuing long term visas for
the Chinese is one such effort.
Chinese
tourists are not coming in large numbers to India unlike Sri Lanka where they
top the number of foreign tourists. There is a great opportunity for
India in promoting tourism.
Many
experts say China cannot be trusted.
Personally, I am of the opinion
that no nation should trust any other nation 100%.
In the case of China, it has more
meaning. India has very close defence relations with both France and Russia and
both have proved they are dependable. Though Russia has sold weapons and France
sold submarines to Pakistan, we can trust them.
But China, like the US, is not
dependable and trustworthy.
China is brazenly self-centred.
China is probably the only country which has gone to war with almost all of its
neighbours over border disputes.
China has
been investing heavily in all of India's neighbours. Is it to isolate India?
The basic difference between India
and China is India's dream is regional and China's dream is global.
Chinese investment in our
neighbouring countries serves China in two ways: It furthers China's quest to
become a global power. At the same time, it can strategically contain India,
which is a potential challenger to China in Asia because of its size and
growing economic power.
It is not easy to isolate India
which dominates the sea lanes of communication in the Indian Ocean. China has
developed a blue water navy to protect its maritime trade as China is a very
big importer of petroleum and other mineral resources.
How much
will such informal summits help build a better relationship between India and
China?
The advantage of an informal
meeting is you do not have to come out with a joint statement.
Though they say there was no fixed
agenda, the ministers accompanied them shows they have an agenda. It is not a
formalised agenda, but a free-flowing one. So this creates a friendly
atmosphere, to further the understanding of each other.
The body
language of both leaders showed that they were quite comfortable with each
other...
Xi came to power a year earlier
than Modi. After Modi came to power, they have met 18 times which means in five
years, they have met on an average more than three times a year.
These meetings were both formal
and informal, summits as well as on the sidelines of international conferences.
So, they seem to have built a rapport and appear to be quite comfortable with
each other.
Can India
and China ever be true friends?
Only when China treats India as an
equal can we consider them real friends.
Unfortunately, the Chinese try to
equate themselves with the Americans. The 'unequalness' in the India-China
relationship is partly due to our conduct too. We are not vision-driven like
China.
Also, China is a highly
materialistic, Confucius-driven, society where the ruler is accepted as all
powerful. So they are able to realise their vision better.
Yes, we are two different systems,
but we have to co-exist. Like Vajpayee said, you can choose your friends, not
your neighbours.
SHOBHA WARRIER / Rediff.com
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