Col R Hariharan |January 31, 2021|
South Asia Security Trends, February 1, 2021 | www.security-risk.com
Overview
The first month of the year 2021
gave a glimpse to Sri Lankans of the three major, inter-related issues they are
likely to confront during the year. These are: further hardening of government
attitudes to ethnic reconciliation, more militarisation of governance and
fighting a losing battle to managing the battered economy. Two of the issues
are not new; but militarisation of governance can be attributed to the rise of majoritarian
triumphalism after the army finally eliminated the LTTE-led separatists in the
Eelam War in 2009.
The international tourist travel,
national economy's lifeblood, is yet to recover from the effects of Covid
pandemic. It is likely to slowly recover depending upon how Sri Lanka
regains global credibility in the fight against the pandemic. Sri Lanka has to
successfully turn international vaccine politics to its advantage, without
annoying the major powers involved in it. At least for now, India has taken the
lead, gifting half a million doses of Covishield vaccine. As it always
happens, China’s terms of its gift of Chinese vaccine, are neither clear nor
transparent. Russia has also entered the vaccine fray, saying it would allow
Sri Lanka to manufacture the Russian vaccine, though details are not yet
available.
Confrontation Vs Consensus
The next two months are going to
be testing times for the government, as it grapples with international fall out
President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s decision to disown co-sponsorship of the UN
Human Rights Council (UNHRC) Resolution 30/1. The resolution was rolled over
twice to provide time to Sri Lanka to fulfil its promises on accountability for
its actions on alleged human rights excesses during the Eelam war.
President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s
highly militarised government’s decisions, based on Sinhala Buddhist
ethnocentric considerations, have rapidly reversed the progress on ethnic
reconciliation made by his predecessors, including those of his brother and
former President Mahinda Rajapaksa. Though many among the Sinhala majority
consider their country as the last bastion of Theravada Buddhism, in politics
Buddhist ethnocentric elements never occupied the central space. They seem to
be calling the shots now. Even when Mahinda Rajapaka decided to wage the ‘final
war’ to defeat the Tamil separatists of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam
(LTTE), he leveraged ethnic reconciliation, rather than ethnocentric
nationalism, in his political discourse.
So, it is not surprising that the
UN Human Rights High Commissioner Michelle Bachelet’s report on Sri Lanka’s
accountability issues is scathing on Sri Lanka government’s conduct. The
report will be discussed during the 46th session of the UNHRC from
February 22 to Mach 19, 2021.
The UN High Commissioner’s report
says, “Nearly 12 years on from the end of the war, domestic initiatives for
accountability and reconciliation have repeatedly failed to produce results,
more deeply entrenching impunity and exacerbating victims’ distrust of the
system....Sri Lanka remains in a state of denial about the past, with
truth-seeking efforts aborted and the highest state officials refusing to make
any acknowledgement of past crimes.” These words sum up, not only the views of
the High Commissioner, but also reflect the views of many national and
international civil society groups.
Warning that this has a direct
impact on the present and the future of Sri Lanka, Ms Bachelet states, “The
failure to implement any vetting or comprehensive reforms in the security
sector means that the State apparatus and some its members credibly implicated
in the alleged grave crimes and human rights violations remain in place.”
Noting the 2015 reforms that
“offered more checks and balances on executive power" have been rolled
back, "eroding independence of judiciary and other key institutions
further.” It says “the beginnings of a more inclusive national discourse that
promised greater recognition and respect of and reconciliation with minority
communities have been reversed. Far from achieving the ‘guarantees of
non-recurrence’ promised by resolution 30/1, Sri Lanka’s current trajectory
sets the scene for recurrence of the policies and practices that gave rise to
grave human rights violations.” There cannot be a more scathing indictment of
the Rajapaksa style of governance.
She has also referred to the
emergency security deployments in the wake of Easter Sunday terrorist attacks
in 2019 “have evolved into an increased militarisation of the State.” In
particular, the report notes the Government has appointed active and former
military personnel, including those credibly implicated in war crimes to key
positions in the civilian administration, and created parallel task forces and
commissions that encroach upon civilian administration, reversing the
democratic gains as a result of 20th Constitutional amendment.
She has urged the Sri Lanka
authorities to immediately end all forms of surveillance, including
intimidating visits by State agents and harassment against human rights
defenders, lawyers, journalists and victims of human rights violations and
refrain from imposing further restrictive legal measures on legitimate civil
society.
The High Commissioner has urged
the HRC to take action on Sri Lanka for three important reasons. These are:
failure to deal with the past will have devastating effect on the survivors of
all communities, who need justice and urgent reparation; Failure to advance
accountability and reconciliation undermines prospects of peace and development
and carries seeds of potential conflict in the future; The trends highlighted
in the report represent “yet again” an important challenge for the UN and the
HRC. If no action is taken it will undermine its “efforts to prevent and
achieve accountability for grave violations in other contexts.”
Sri Lanka should be particularly
concerned with her call for the UN to set out a coherent and effective
plan to advance accountability options at the international level. The options
suggested include, taking steps towards the referral of the situation in Sri
Lanka to the International Criminal Court, member states actively pursuing
investigation and prosecution of international crimes committed by parties
before their national courts, and applying targeted sanctions such as asset
freezes and travel ban against state officials and other alleged persons
responsible for committing such violations.
While it was understandable that
President Rajapaksa was angered by the UN High Commissioner’s report, it should
not be allowed to override a nuanced, common sense approach couched in
diplomatic nicety. According to media reports, Sri Lanka government's response
appeared to be to confront the international body on its findings, rather than
build a consensus towards fielding an alternate resolution.
Foreign affairs are one of the
weakest links of the Rajapaksa government. On more than one occasion, its
representatives had been found to be ham handed in handling foreign affairs
issues. They have been found debating sensitive issues on public forums, rather
than discussing them through private channel. How Sri Lanka fares in the UNHRC
session may decide much of the international attitudes to Sri Lanka in the
coming months.
[Col R Hariharan, a retire MI
specialist on South Asia and terrorism, served as the head of intelligence of
the Indian Peace Keeping Force in Sri Lanka 1987-90. E-mail: haridirect@gmail.com web: https://col.hariharan.info ]
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