Col R Hariharan | Cover Story |IL
Feature| India Legal | May 4, 2021
https://www.indialegallive.com/cover-story-articles/il-feature-news/quad-us-japan-india-australia/
India’s strategic security challenges
have become more complex after the “coming of age” of the Quad—the
Quadrilateral strategic grouping of the US, Japan, India and Australia. The
Quad is no doubt China centric and was formed to ensure a free and open
international order based on the rule of law in the Indo-Pacific. However, the
virtual summit meeting of the leaders of the four countries, held on March 12,
identified a whole array of interests, well beyond the traditional contours of
the Indo-Pacific.
The smorgasbord of Quad objectives
typically include “the economic and health impacts of Covid-19” and climate
change. Universal issues like managing cyberspace, critical technologies,
counter-terrorism, quality infrastructure investment, humanitarian assistance
and disaster relief, as well as managing maritime domains, also figure in
Quad’s areas of interest.
India is the only
Quad member sharing a 3,488-km-long land border with China. Since the last
decade, China had been creating maritime assets in the Indian Ocean in Myanmar,
Hambantota (Sri Lanka), Gwadar (Pakistan) and Djibouti (Africa). India has a
pivotal role in not only managing the maritime security of the Indian Ocean,
but also in interdicting any threat to international sea lanes at choke points.
This was evident from the number of bilateral, trilateral and quadrilateral
exercises conducted with the Indian Navy in the Indian Ocean this year.
On the other hand,
the Quad meets India’s aspiration of becoming “a stabilising power”, as
articulated by External Affairs minister Dr S Jaishankar at the ORF’s Raisina
Dialogue in April 2020. He said it was “not the India way to be a disruptionist
power internationally”. The “India way” was not to be “self-centred or mercantilist”.
Therefore, it was important to be global and law-abiding (or rule-based) and
consultative.
Jaishankar
identified “four or five sharp descriptions” in his vision of the “India Way”.
These included bringing India’s capacities for global good to provide security
and connectivity and firmly dealing with challenges like terrorism and climate
change. India would be a “decider or a shaper” than “abstainer” on issues like
climate change and connectivity and a “just and fair standard bearer for the
South by political inheritance”. Finally, Brand India would be unique as a
power, connected by an extraordinary diaspora, shaping the international
discourse while being rooted in Indian tradition and heritage.
India had always
been proud of its strategic autonomy. But Jaishankar’s intervention during the
Dialogue indicated India’s readiness to adapt it to the strategic needs of the
“India Way”. He said the world was moving towards “multipolarity, rebalancing
and plurilateralism. Shared values and comforts are creating new combinations”.
We can expect the
lofty vision of the “India Way” to be tested at every stage of the country’s
participation as an active member of the Quad. It will now be circumscribed not
only by the compulsions of managing delicate bilateral relationship with China,
but also other members of the Quad, particularly the US.
The US is known for
ignoring the sensitivities of friends, as much as foes. On April 7, the US 7th
Fleet announced that one of its warships, USS John Paul Jones (DDG 53)
“asserted navigational rights and freedoms approximately 130 nautical miles
west of Lakshadweep Islands, inside India’s exclusive economic zone, without
requesting India’s prior consent, consistent with international law”. It is
strange that the US 7th Fleet talks of taking “a position consistent with the
international law”, though the US has neither signed nor ratified the United
Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) unlike India or China.
This raised the
hackles of New Delhi. The statement of the ministry of external affairs on the
incident pointed out that India’s stated position as per the Convention does
not authorise other States to carry out “military exercises or manoeuvres, in
particular those involving the use of weapons or explosives, without the
consent of the coastal state” in the Exclusive Economic Zone and on the
continental shelf. This is consistent with the two declarations India made
while ratifying the UNCLOS in June 1995.
The incident came
close on the heels of the Quad summit meeting where the US shared a commitment
to a “shared vision for the free and open Indo-Pacific” and a region that is
“inclusive, healthy, anchored by democratic values, and unconstrained
coercion”. India now enjoys a close defence relationship with the US on par with
NATO allies. The US had in the past rushed defence armament and equipment to
meet India’s urgent needs during its confrontation with China in Ladakh.
Admiral Phillip
Davidson, commander of the US Navy’s Indo-Pacific Command, had recently said:
“Our relationship with India remains one of Indo-Pacific Command’s highest
priority.” He called India a “vital partner in strengthening the security and
stability” in the region. “A strong US-India strategic partnership is
indispensable for peace, prosperity and security in the Indo-Pacific,” he said.
Against this
backdrop, what was the 7th Fleet trying to prove by conducting the Freedom of
Navigation of Operation (FONOP) in India’s EEZ? It could only be called
American exceptionalism, which shaped Trump’s America First slogan.
According to a Pew
survey of March 2021, 89 percent of US adults consider China a competitor or
enemy, rather than a partner. Many also support taking a firmer approach to the
bilateral relationship, whether by promoting human rights in China or getting
tougher on it economically. The percentage of Americans who think limiting
China’s power and influence should be a top foreign policy priority has gone up
to 48 percent from 32 percent in 2018.
US President Joe
Biden’s China policy reflects the popular perceptions inherited from Trump’s
fractured relationship with that country. It includes ongoing trade war and
mutually imposed sanctions on senior Chinese officials for belligerence in
South China Sea, particularly against Taiwan and Japan, and human rights
aberrations. However, on other global issues like climate change and
participation in the UN Human Rights Council, Biden has reversed Trump’s
policies.
As the 7th Fleet
incident showed, the US wears its national interest on its sleeve as much as
China. Building India’s relationship with the US within the Quad’s ambit will
require a lot of deliberation on crucial issues. This was demonstrated
initially by the US reluctance to comply with India’s request for assistance in
combating the Covid-19 pandemic. Of course, it came with full force after a lot
furore was raised within and outside the US.
China’s lukewarm
reaction to the Quad in the early years appears to be undergoing a change in
the second half of 2020, coinciding with its deteriorating relations with
India. Probably, the trigger was the Quad foreign ministers meeting in October
2020, when they discussed a coordinated approach to fight Covid-19 and a
regional infrastructure for development. The latter was probably construed as
the beginnings of a response to the much-touted Belt and Road Initiative. China
was also probably disappointed at the newly elected POTUS broadly reiterating
Trump’s China policy.
But the touchstone
was probably the Quad summit meeting which transformed the informal framework
into a formal grouping with a broad set of objectives, challenging China’s
quest for a new world order. China’s reaction to the transformation was
caustic. Foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian saw Quad as a mechanism to
contain China’s global rise. He accused the group of being dedicated to
undermine China’s interests. After the Quad summit, China’s defence ministry
said the group “hangs on to Cold War mentality, pursues group confrontation, is
keen on geopolitical games, uses the so called China challenge as an excuse to
form cliques, and openly incites discord between regional countries”.
Now China seems to
have decided to enter into a no-holds barred action in South Asia. Its State
Councillor and defence minister Gen Wei Fenghe made a fleeting visit to Dhaka
on May 27. He called upon President Abdul Hamid and discussed furthering
military cooperation between the two countries.
During the meeting,
Wei said that China and Bangladesh are at a crucial time in national
rejuvenation and development. To jointly maintain regional peace and stability,
the two sides should make joint efforts against powers outside by setting up a
military alliance in South Asia and practising hegemonism, a not so apparent
reference to the Quad grouping. He also discussed the international and
regional situation with Bangladesh COAS Gen Aziz Ahmed.
From Dhaka, Wei
flew to Colombo, where after meeting President Gotabaya Rajapaksa and Prime
Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa, he said that peaceful development and win-win
cooperation is the global trend and the “right way” forward. He added that
certain major countries were keen to form cliques and factions and seek
regional hegemony, which goes against people’s shared aspiration and severely
harms the interests of regional countries.
It is clear that
China’s multifaceted focus will now be on India’s South Asian neighbours. This
was evident from a video conference organised between the South Asian countries
and China to discuss Covid. High- level representatives of Bangladesh, Nepal,
Sri Lanka, Afghanistan, Nepal and Pakistan participated in it. India, Bhutan
and the Maldives did not participate in the conference. [Written on April 29, 2021]
[ The writer is a military
intelligence specialist on South Asia, associated with the Chennai Centre for
China Studies Institute.]
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